The DP World Tour Championship is the European Tour’s final event of the season and just three men are still in contention of winning the Race to Dubai.

Tommy Fleetwood leads the way with Justin Rose, who’s won his last two events, in second and Masters-champion Sergio Garcia in third; the three leaders are separated by just over 1,000,000 points, but even Garcia can walk away from Dubai with the money-list crown.

Current standings:

  1. Tommy Fleetwood 4,235,987
  2. Justin Rose 3,979,250
  3. Sergio Garcia 3,184,582

So how do things have to pan out at Jumeirah Golf Estates for each of the trio to become the season champion?

Tommy Fleetwood

Fleetwood has a quick start to the season to thank for his position. Despite only seven top 10s in his last 19 starts, the 26-year-old heads the Race to Dubai by over 250,000 points thanks to his wins at the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship and HNA Open de France this year. It may also account for the fact he’s played 12 more events than Rose and 11 more than Garcia.

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The task at hand is simple for Fleetwood. As long as he equals or betters his rivals, they cannot catch him. Should Rose finish outside the top five and Garcia fail to win, Fleetwood can come dead last and still be victorious.

Justin Rose

Having played only 11 events on the European Tour this season, it’s remarkable Rose finds himself in this position; it’s even more remarkable when you consider his position just over two weeks ago. Back-to-back wins at the WGC-HSBC Champions and Turkish Airlines Open added to his runner-up finish at the Masters and have catapulted the world-number-six into contention.

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The task at hand is tougher for Rose. If he wants to win, he must finish in the top five and Fleetwood in approximately 34th or worse (depending on how ties divide prize money). He can guarantee a win, providing Fleetwood does not win himself, with a solo second finish or better.

Sergio Garcia

2017 has been a life-changing year for Garcia, regardless of a Race to Dubai title. The Spaniard has married Angela Akins, announced that the couple are expecting their first child and – most importantly – he won his first major title at Augusta National. Winning the Race to Dubai may seem nothing more than a welcome Christmas bonus.

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The task at hand is simple for Garcia. He has to win the DP World Tour Championship and he has to do so in style compared to his challengers. If he does manage a win in Dubai, Fleetwood must finish outside the top 20 and Rose outside (solo) fourth. Simple, but very difficult.

It’s clear who the favourite and outsider is, but after high-achieving years all round all three of the above would be worthy Race to Dubai winners.